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Current Win Probability
Ciudad de Bolívar 73.8%
Draw 18.4%
General San Martín de Formosa 7.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
22.7%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.7%
21.9%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.
General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General San Martín de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Bolívar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1X2, 1st Half - Ciudad de Bolívar (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Biscardi R. (G) 9. Caraballo K. 11. Diaz A. 7. Duarte B. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Lapetina L. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 5. Quintana B. 8. Yeri N.
1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 5. Bobadilla M. (C) 2. Brienzo N. 11. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R. 7. Vicedo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Bobadilla M. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Caraballo K. (Pen),
13', Tapia R. 🟨,
14', Brienzo N. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Duarte B. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Tapia R. ⚽,
27', Leiva D. 🟨,
32', Vicedo M. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', (Pen),
57', Schonfeld G. 🟨,
76', Diaz A. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Maciel J. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Diaz A. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
Ciudad de Bolívar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Martín Formosa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Ciudad de Bolívar is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Ciudad de Bolívar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Watch
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Biscardi R. (G) 
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