The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Civitanovese 15%
Draw 23.7%
L Aquila 61.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.7%
23.5%
62.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.3%
22.8%
64.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Civitanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Civitanovese than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Civitanovese - L Aquila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Civitanovese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
L Aquila is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently L Aquila have a series of guest games.
In this match L Aquila is the unquestionable favorite.