Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Civitanovese		L Aquila

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.46
	6	3.85	1.48
	5.5	3.75	1.5
	6.71	3.84	1.45
	6	3.85	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↓ (6.64)	3.82 ↓ (3.88)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Civitanovese
15%

Draw
23.7%

L Aquila
61.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.7%

23.5%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

22.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Civitanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Civitanovese than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Civitanovese - L Aquila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Civitanovese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

L Aquila is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently L Aquila have a series of guest games.

In this match L Aquila is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Civitanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.12.24	Civitanovese - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Recanatese - Civitanovese	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Civitanovese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Civitanovese - Sora	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Termoli - Civitanovese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWT
- L Aquila Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.12.24	Teramo - L Aquila	0:2 ✺
08.12.24	Chieti - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
04.12.24	Guidonia Montecelio - L Aquila	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.11.24	Vigor Senigallia - L Aquila	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
20.11.24	Roma City - L Aquila	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWLTW

Civitanovese - L Aquila

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Civitanovese - L Aquila Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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