The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vigor Senigallia 32.8%
Draw 29.7%
L Aquila 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
29%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
28.6%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Senigallia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Vigor Senigallia - L Aquila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
L Aquila
6
4
2
0
12:2
10
14
3
Vigor Senigallia
6
4
1
1
14:10
4
13
Last Results with these Odds
L Aquila - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.91%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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