The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América U21 47.7%
Draw 27.2%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 25.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.8%
28.5%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
29.2%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Guadalajara Chivas U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América U21 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalajara Chivas U21 than the current prediction. (-2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 🟥,
34', 🟥,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Apertura ~ Playoffs and 6th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Apertura ~ Playoffs).
América U21 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guadalajara U21 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Guadalajara U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
América U21 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, América U21 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for América U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
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