Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Clausura - Round 25

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Club Luján		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.75	2.1
	3.55	2.8	2.16
	3.59	2.92	2.06
	3.55	2.96	2.13	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.2
	3.7	2.88	2.08
	3.4	2.8	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.83)	2.84 ↓ (2.89)	2.14 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
25.6%

Draw
32%

Real Pilar
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

31.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

31.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Luján's form might have worsened.

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Pilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Luján, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Pilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Club Luján - Real Pilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Noriega A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 0 - 2, Noriega A. (Pen),
68', 0 - 3, Paiva A. ⚽,
77', 0 - 4, Govi G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: Final)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 2.

Recent matches Club Luján is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Pilar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Pilar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Pilar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Club Luján won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
24.11.24	Argentino de Rosario - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
20.11.24	Club Luján - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Club Luján - Deportivo Español	1:2 ✺
05.11.24	Centro Español - Club Luján	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLL
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
25.11.24	Real Pilar - Sportivo Barracas	3:0 ✺
20.11.24	Berazategui - Real Pilar	2:3 ✺
15.11.24	Real Pilar - Deportivo Yupanqui	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Real Pilar - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
29.06.24	Real Pilar - Club Luján	1:2
23.07.23	Real Pilar - Club Luján	1:0
19.03.23	Club Luján - Real Pilar	4:0
18.06.22	Real Pilar - Club Luján	1:1
13.02.22	Club Luján - Real Pilar	0:1
03.10.21	Real Pilar - Club Luján	0:0
16.05.21	Club Luján - Real Pilar	0:0

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