Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 37

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Club Milano		Tritium

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.48	3.94	5.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	3.87 ↑ (3.85)	5.5 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Milano
60.2%

Draw
23.3%

Tritium
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.7%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

16.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tritium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Milano than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Milano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tritium could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Maspero A. ⚽,
25', 🟥,
25', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟥,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Club Milano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tritium has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Club Milano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Club Milano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Milano
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.04.24	Casatese - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Club Milano - Varesina	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Real Calepina - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Club Milano - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Castellanzese - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLL
- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.04.24	Tritium - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Tritium - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Clivense - Tritium	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Tritium - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Casatese - Tritium	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.23	Tritium - Club Milano	0:1

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