Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tritium		Virtus CiseranoBergamo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.30
	2.75	3	2.32
	2.78	3.01	2.32
	2.82	3.13	2.39	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.25
	2.79	3.13	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.05 (3.05)	2.32 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritium
32.3%

Draw
29.2%

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

29.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Tritium - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 13th in the Serie D - Group B (Play Out: )).

Tritium has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

CiseranoBergamo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tritium has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:8 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tritium against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ciserano-Bergamo	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9
18	Tritium	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.10.26	Virtus Verona - Tritium	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Tritium - Club Milano	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Villa Valle - Tritium	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.10.26	Chievo - Tritium	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	Tritium - Rovato Vertovese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.10.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Leon	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Nibbiano Valtidone - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	4:1 ✺
04.10.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Virtus Verona	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Club Milano	1:1 ✺
21.09.26	Chievo - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
17.03.24	Tritium - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:2
05.11.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Tritium	3:0
02.06.21	Tritium - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0
24.01.21	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Tritium	3:1

Tritium - Virtus CiseranoBergamo