Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 4

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Ceará		Jacuipense

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	9	Watch
	1.2	5.35	11	Watch
	1.21	5.7	11.72
	1.50	4.47	5.37	Watch
	1.22	5	15
	1.18	5.45	14.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)	5.2 ↑ (4.55)	11.1 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
73.8%

Draw
17.8%

Jacuipense
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

18.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.

Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacuipense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacuipense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ceará - Jacuipense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 63. Gilmar 35. Giulio 81. Joao Gabriel 10. Juan Alano 18. Julio Cesar 13. Luiz Otavio (C) 2. Ramos R. 12. Sanchez 29. Vina 9. Wendel Silva	1. Marcelo (C) 9. Adriano 3. Daniel Costa 11. Flavinho 4. Gabriel Pereira 16. Geferson 13. Jhones Germano 20. Joao Pedro 17. Pereira G. 5. Talisca 2. Vicente
Substitutes
21. Alex Silva 20. Diego 17. Fernando 30. Gustavo Prado 31. Lucas Lima 8. Matheus Araujo 98. Matheusinho 40. Melk 7. Pedro Henrique 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson 3. Ronald Carvalho	. David Santana 23. Italo Pezao (G) 19. Pedro Henrique . Romario Luis M. 25. Sidney Freitas 14. Thiago 18. Vicente 8. Vinicius Amaral 7. William

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Gabriel Pereira 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Pereira G. ⚽,
19', 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Giulio ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sanchez ↓, Fernando ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Julio Cesar ⚽,
52', Juan Alano ↓, Melk ↑,
52', Wendel Silva ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
58', Pereira G. ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,
58', Gabriel Pereira ↓, Thiago ↑,
60', Julio Cesar ↓, Diego ↑,
66', 🟨,
68', Adriano ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
68', Jhones Germano ↓, David Santana ↑,
78', Joao Pedro ↓, William ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Melk ⚽,
86', Daniel Costa 🟨,
87', Thiago 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Ceará is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jacuipense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ceará is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Ceará - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Cuiabá - Ceará	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Ponte Preta - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Retrô Brasil - Ceará	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTL
- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Jacuipense - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.04.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.03.26	Jacuipense - América RN	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Sport Recife - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL

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