Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 12 September 2023, Tuesday


	Coalville Town		Redditch United

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	3.8
	1.79	4.34	3.54
	1.74	3.95	3.86
	1.75	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.93)	4.07 ↓ (4.1)	3.7 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
53%

Draw
22.4%

Redditch United
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

22.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

22.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Redditch United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Redditch United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Coalville Town - Redditch United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Coalville will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Redditch will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coalville won 3.

Recent matches Coalville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Redditch is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Redditch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coalville is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Coalville won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.23	Nuneaton Town - Coalville Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	AFC Telford United - Coalville Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
28.08.23	Coalville Town - Barwell	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Royston Town - Coalville Town	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Coalville Town - Needham Market	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.23	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
28.08.23	Alvechurch - Redditch United	4:4 ✺
26.08.23	Redditch United - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Sudbury Town - Redditch United	0:4 ✺
14.08.23	Redditch United - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.02.23	Redditch United - Coalville Town	0:1
11.10.22	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:2
18.12.21	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:0
27.09.21	Redditch United - Coalville Town	1:4
29.09.20	Coalville Town - Redditch United	1:1
17.09.19	Redditch United - Coalville Town	2:3
30.03.19	Coalville Town - Redditch United	1:2

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