Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 12

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mkwakwani Stadium (Tanga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Coastal Union		Kinondoni MC

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.45
	1.75	3.13	4.59
	1.81	3.13	4.63	Watch
	1.8	2.9	4.6
	1.78	3.02	4.81	Watch
	1.76	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)	3.05 ↓ (3.27)	4.6 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coastal Union
50.7%

Draw
29.6%

Kinondoni MC
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

27.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coastal Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coastal Union's form might have worsened.

Kinondoni MC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Mwakisiki K. (G) 26. Aidan R. 16. Balugu G. (C) 17. Gwalala G. 33. James 13. Lasa G. 10. Masumbuko A. 5. Msangi A. A. 66. Oviedo A. 7. Salamba A. 42. Saleh Abdalla S.	1. Mutombora F. (G) 8. Ally K. (C) 2. Castor 11. Chambo R. 15. Majogoro B. 16. Mudathir 21. Mwaituka S. 14. Mwijage E. 5. Shemvuni J. 20. Simba J. 25. Suleiman
Substitutes
36. Andrea M. 19. Bakari K. 23. Ezekiel 22. Jonathani . Jumanne 31. Maseke W. 34. Mwanza S. 3. Oruchum C. 63. Said A. 2. William A.	27. Athuman S. 6. Gambo I. . Ismail 3. Msonga H. 47. Nindi I. 29. Omar A. 30. Redemtus M. 19. Sagwe J. 10. Saliboko D. 50. Tondi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Majogoro B. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Simba J. ⚽, Mwijage E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Lasa G. ⚽,
54', Suleiman 🟨,
54', Simba J. 🟨,
61', Salamba A. ↓, Bakari K. ↑,
65', Mutombora F. 🟨,
67', Oviedo A. ↓, William A. ↑,
75', James ↓, Said A. ↑,
75', Gwalala G. ↓, Andrea M. ↑,
80', Mwijage E. ↓, Saliboko D. ↑,
80', Majogoro B. ↓, Tondi K. ↑,
88', Simba J. ↓, Omar A. ↑,
88', Ally K. ↓, Redemtus M. ↑,
90+1', Saleh Abdalla S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coastal Union won 0.

Recent form of Coastal Union has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coastal Union may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coastal Union is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coastal Union won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Coastal Union won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
23.01.26	Namungo - Coastal Union	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Azam - Coastal Union	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Coastal Union - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
01.12.25	Mashujaa - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTW
- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
23.01.26	TRA United - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Pamba - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
25.11.25	Kinondoni MC - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Young Africans - Kinondoni MC	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
29.12.24	Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC	1:1
29.08.24	Kinondoni MC - Coastal Union	1:1
28.05.24	Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC	0:0
12.02.24	Kinondoni MC - Coastal Union	0:0
15.12.22	Kinondoni MC - Coastal Union	1:0
17.08.22	Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC	1:0
07.03.22	Kinondoni MC - Coastal Union	2:3

Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide