Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 7

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Kinondoni MC		JKT Tanzania

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.78	2.35
	3.08	2.69	2.56	Watch
	3.2	2.97	2.32
	3	2.54	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)	2.75 ↓ (2.9)	2.46 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kinondoni MC
29.6%

Draw
33.3%

JKT Tanzania
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

31%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

29.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kinondoni MC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

JKT Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kinondoni MC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKT Tanzania than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JKT Tanzania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Yassin H. (G) 13. Anyimike B. 27. Athuman S. 11. Chambo R. 17. Kayombo E. 12. Mosha N. 21. Mwaituka S. 47. Nindi I. 30. Redemtus M. 10. Saliboko D. (C) 50. Tondi K.	30. Gonzo O. (G) 12. David B. 21. Karabaka S. 3. Kilemile A. 13. Maguli N. 42. Msengi A. 41. Mussa P. 31. Nassor H. 51. Peter P. 10. Songo E. 5. Wahabi H.
Substitutes
8. Ally K. 6. Gambo I. 3. Msonga H. 1. Mutombora F. (G) 14. Mwijage E. 29. Omar A. 23. Oscar P. 46. Pipino A. 19. Sagwe J. 5. Shemvuni J.	24. Dilunga H. . Elia A. 45. Ilunda J. (G) 47. Josiah A. 4. Kapalata H. 29. Khamis S. 26. Makame L. 7. Matiko G. 8. Ndemla S. 55. Roony G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Mosha N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Songo E. ↓, Dilunga H. ↑,
46', Wahabi H. ↓, Makame L. ↑,
46', Tondi K. ↓, Pipino A. ↑,
56', Nassor H. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Nindi I. (Own goal),
75', Anyimike B. ↓, Omar A. ↑,
80', Maguli N. ↓, Elia A. ↑,
81', Redemtus M. ↓, Ally K. ↑,
81', Chambo R. ↓, Mwijage E. ↑,
83', David B. 🟨,
85', Kilemile A. 🟨,
90+2', Kilemile A. ↓, Khamis S. ↑,
90+3', Saliboko D. ↓, Sagwe J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 2.

Kinondoni has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

JKT Tanzania's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JKT Tanzania is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that JKT Tanzania will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kinondoni won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
09.11.25	Young Africans - Kinondoni MC	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Singida Fountain Gate - Kinondoni MC	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Prisons - Kinondoni MC	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Kinondoni MC - Singida Black Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JKT Tanzania
Tanzanian Premier League
08.11.25	JKT Tanzania - Simba	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Mbeya City - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	JKT Tanzania - Namungo	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	JKT Tanzania - Azam	1:1 ✺
22.09.25	Coastal Union - JKT Tanzania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
18.02.25	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	0:2
22.09.24	JKT Tanzania - Kinondoni MC	0:0
27.02.24	JKT Tanzania - Kinondoni MC	1:1
15.09.23	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	2:1
15.07.21	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	5:2
23.12.20	JKT Tanzania - Kinondoni MC	2:0
04.03.20	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	1:0

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