Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Coastal Union		Mbeya Kwanza

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.4	3.6
	2.15	2.7	3.75
	2.15	2.47	3.85
	2.23	2.22	4.43
	2.1	2.8	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.19)	2.52 ↓ (2.75)	3.91 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coastal Union
41.2%

Draw
35.8%

Mbeya Kwanza
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coastal Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mbeya Kwanza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coastal Union than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coastal Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya Kwanza than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Coastal Union - Mbeya Kwanza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

Recent matches Coastal Union is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mbeya Kwanza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Coastal Union have a series of guest games.

Recently Mbeya Kwanza have a series of home games.

Coastal Union will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
28.11.21	Dodoma Jiji - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
19.11.21	Polisi Tanzania - Coastal Union	0:1 ✺
03.11.21	Coastal Union - Prisons	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Simba - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
17.10.21	Ruvu Shooting - Coastal Union	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWTTL
- Mbeya Kwanza
Tanzanian Premier League
30.11.21	Mbeya Kwanza - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
19.11.21	Prisons - Mbeya Kwanza	2:1 ✺
01.11.21	Mbeya Kwanza - Polisi Tanzania	2:2 ✺
29.10.21	Mbeya Kwanza - Biashara Mara United	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Mbeya Kwanza - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTTT

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