Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 36

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Coburg		Gebenbach

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.44
	5.05	5.24	1.45
	5.31	5.17	1.43
	5	5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (4.29)	5.1 ↑ (4.69)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coburg
18.1%

Draw
18%

Gebenbach
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

19.8%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

19.7%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gebenbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gebenbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gebenbach than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gebenbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 12).

Coburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gebenbach is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gebenbach is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Coburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
01.05.24	Eichstätt - Coburg	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Coburg - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Kornburg - Coburg	3:3 ✺
13.04.24	Coburg - Cham	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Donaustauf - Coburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTLL
- DJK Gebenbach
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
27.04.24	Bayern Hof - Gebenbach	1:7 ✺
20.04.24	Gebenbach - Fortuna Regensburg	4:0 ✺
16.04.24	Gebenbach - Kornburg	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Feucht - Gebenbach	0:8 ✺
06.04.24	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
14.10.23	Gebenbach - Coburg	1:3

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