The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cofutpa 32.7%
Draw 26%
Escorpiones de Belén 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
24.4%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
24.1%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cofutpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cofutpa's form might have worsened.
Escorpiones de Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cofutpa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Cofutpa - Escorpiones de Belén Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Escorpiones will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Escorpiones de Belén will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 2, Jimenez B. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Cofutpa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Escorpiones is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cofutpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cofutpa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Cofutpa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Escorpiones de Belén - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.