Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Colchagua		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.54	2.69
	2.15	3.82	2.78	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.62	3.2	2.39
	2.85	3.15	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.92)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	2.56 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchagua
37.8%

Draw
26.7%

Santiago Morning
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

27.4%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchagua's performance.

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santiago Morning might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchagua than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchagua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Colchagua - Santiago Morning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cancino Herrera R. E. (C) 16. Carrasco O. 7. Diaz R. 20. Marin C. 2. Martin M. 9. Perez V. M. 6. Ponce A. 5. Rodriguez C. 18. Salas Pizarro D. E. 27. Segovia R. 10. Tobar J.	1. Bolado J. (G) 4. Almuna M. 7. Arancibia M. 20. Arias S. 30. Barrientos J. 5. Delgado M. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. (C) 19. Monje J. 3. Montoya D. 25. Rojas A. 22. Rubio E.
Substitutes
11. Alegria J. 8. Diaz R. 4. Olea M. 21. Opazo C. 23. Pavez C. 12. Quezada J. (G) 17. Valenzuela C.	13. Arredondo M. (G) 11. Escobar G. 14. Faundez D. 16. Jorquera M. 6. Kuljis C. 26. Munoz C. 2. Palomo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Diaz R. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Rubio E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Monje J. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
53', Diaz R. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
62', Rubio E. 🟨,
67', Tobar J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
67', Perez V. M. ↓, Pavez C. ↑,
68', Carrasco O. 🟨,
69', Arancibia M. 🟨,
71', Rubio E. 🟨,
74', Arancibia M. ↓, Palomo N. ↑,
74', Arias S. ↓, Faundez D. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+8', Marin C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Colchagua has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Santiago Morning has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Colchagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colchagua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colchagua	6	1	1	4	2:4	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colchagua
Chilean Segunda Division
10.05.26	Colchagua - Deportes Linares	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Lota Schwager - Colchagua	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Colchagua - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Provincial Osorno - Colchagua	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Colchagua - General Velásquez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWTW
- Santiago Morning
Chilean Segunda Division
03.05.26	Santiago Morning - Deportes Rengo	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportes Linares - Santiago Morning	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	General Velásquez - Santiago Morning	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Provincial Osorno - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
22.03.26	Santiago Morning - Colchagua	0:1

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