Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Pintana (Santiago de Chile)


	Santiago Morning		Lota Schwager

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.35	3.25
	2.06	3.38	3.27	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.06	3.24	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.5)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	3.22 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
43.8%

Draw
28%

Lota Schwager
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Morning's performance.

Lota Schwager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lota Schwager might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolado J. (G) 4. Almuna M. 7. Arancibia M. 5. Delgado M. 11. Escobar G. 14. Faundez D. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. 3. Montoya D. 26. Munoz C. 25. Rojas A. 23. Rojas K.	12. Fuentes Lagos G. I. (G) 4. Ambiado A. 6. Contreras J. J. 21. Jopia Arias C. 17. Onate V. 24. Ortiz F. 25. Pontigo L. 8. Povea L. 18. Salas C. 23. Torres S. 19. Vergara C.
Substitutes
13. Arredondo M. (G) 27. Coronado M. 6. Kuljis C. 19. Monje J. 2. Palomo N. 29. Quezada C. 22. Rubio E.	13. Alvarado S.D. 7. Diaz C. 20. Fuentes P. 16. Lincopan N. 14. Navarrete G. 11. Neira F. 26. Silva P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Delgado M. ⚽,
19', Povea L. 🟨,
24', Munoz C. 🟨,
29', Ortiz F. 🟨,
37', Arancibia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rojas K. ↓, Quezada C. ↑,
49', Ambiado A. 🟨,
55', Bolado J. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
57', Rojas A. ↓, Coronado M. ↑,
57', Manriquez Hernandez F. ↓, Rubio E. ↑,
58', Munoz C. ↓, Kuljis C. ↑,
59', Coronado M. 🟨,
62', Ambiado A. ↓, Navarrete G. ↑,
63', Ortiz F. ↓, Neira F. ↑,
63', Povea L. ↓, Alvarado S. D. ↑,
63', Onate V. ↓, Lincopan N. ↑,
71', 🟨,
72', Contreras J. J. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
75', Arancibia M. ↓, Palomo N. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Pontigo L. ⚽,
83', Almuna M. 🟨,
90+6', Escobar G. 🟥,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 3.

Lota Schwager may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Santiago Morning - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Segunda Division
12.04.26	General Velásquez - Santiago Morning	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Provincial Osorno - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Santiago Morning - Colchagua	0:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.11.25	Santiago Morning - San Luis de Quillota	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Lota Schwager
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.05.15	Lota Schwager - Deportes Copiapó	1:2 ✺
09.05.15	Coquimbo Unido - Lota Schwager	1:1 ✺
02.05.15	San Luis - Lota Schwager	1:0 ✺
26.04.15	Lota Schwager - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
18.04.15	Deportes Temuco - Lota Schwager	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.03.15	Lota Schwager - Santiago Morning	2:1
01.02.15	Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager	1:0
26.10.14	Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager	2:0
31.08.14	Lota Schwager - Santiago Morning	0:1
06.04.14	Lota Schwager - Santiago Morning	0:0
09.02.14	Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager	1:0

Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide