The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United U21 25%
Draw 18.7%
Swansea City U21 56.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.9%
19.7%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
19.4%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Swansea City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City U21 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Colchester United U21 - Swansea City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Dabrowski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, Kallicharan J. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - Professional Development League Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester U21 won 3.
Colchester U21 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Swansea U21 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Swansea U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Swansea U21 for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Colchester U21 has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:24 (averaging 1.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colchester U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 2:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Swansea U21
8
4
0
4
13:12
1
12
15
Colchester U21
7
2
0
5
14:21
-7
6
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United U21 - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 25.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.