Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Colima		La Piedad

	1	X	2
	4.88	4.12	1.51
	5.07	4.49	1.51	Watch
	5.05	3.98	1.54	Watch
	2.62	3.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (2.74)	4.06 ↑ (3.7)	1.67 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colima
21.1%

Draw
22.9%

La Piedad
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.8%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

23.6%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colima's form might have worsened.

La Piedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Piedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colima than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Piedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colima - La Piedad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Colima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colima FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.09.25	Tuzos UAZ - Colima	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Colima	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Colima - Los Cabos United	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Colima - Tigres de Álica	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Colima - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.09.25	La Piedad - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Los Cabos United - La Piedad	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	La Piedad - Tigres de Álica	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Tritones Vallarta - La Piedad	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	La Piedad - Tecos FC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.03.25	Colima - La Piedad	2:1
26.10.24	La Piedad - Colima	4:0
21.01.23	La Piedad - Colima	2:1
07.09.22	Colima - La Piedad	0:1
04.04.21	La Piedad - Colima	1:0

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