Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Collerense		Son Cladera

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.82
	1.36	4.49	8.06	Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	4.57 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collerense
50.2%

Draw
27.9%

Son Cladera
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collerense's performance.

Son Cladera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Son Cladera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collerense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Son Cladera than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Son Cladera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Collerense - Son Cladera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Collerense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Son Cladera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Son Cladera has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Collerense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.11.25	Alcúdia - Collerense	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Collerense - Mallorca B	0:5 ✺
02.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Collerense - Formentera	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Collerense - Llosetense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL
- CD Son Cladera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.11.25	Son Cladera - Santanyí	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Son Cladera - Formentera	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Son Cladera - Mallorca B	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Platges de Calvià - Son Cladera	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Son Cladera - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.03.18	Son Cladera - Collerense	0:1

Collerense - Son Cladera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide