Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Final Group - Round 2

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	Caracol TV, RCN Television
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Colombia U20		Brazil U20

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.05	3.24
				Watch
	2.37	3.2	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.66)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	3.22 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colombia U20
40.1%

Draw
30.4%

Brazil U20
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colombia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colombia U20's performance.

Brazil U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brazil U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colombia U20 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colombia U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil U20 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brazil U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Colombia U20 - Brazil U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Colombia U20 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia Jordan (G) Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 3. Sandoval K. Crvena zvezda 2. Garcia S. Atl. Nacional 15. Mosquera Y. Real Union 17. Arizala J. Ind. Medellin 19. Gonzalez K. (C) Inter Palmira 6. Ararat A. Huila 14. Barrera J. Junior 11. Batioja A. Houston Dynamo 23. Villarreal N. Millonarios 10. Perea O. Strasbourg	12. Felipe Longo (G) Corinthians 13. Igor Serrote Gremio 14. Iago Teodoro 3. Jair Cunha Botafogo RJ 6. Leandrinho Al Shabab 5. Gabriel Moscardo Reims 8. Breno Bidon Corinthians 7. Rayan 10. Pedro (C) Zenit St Petersburg 17. Gustavo Prado Internacional 11. Nathan Fernandes Gremio
Substitutes
7. Aponza Cantonil S. A. Alianza 4. Bazan J. Dep. Pereira 8. Benitez Hernandez R. A. Aguilas Doradas 18. Landazuri L. Atl. Nacional 20. Montano J. Lommel SK 5. Quinonez E. Orsomarso 13. Renteria L. Santa Fe 16. Rodriguez Y. Inter Palmira 12. Rojas A. (G) Arsenal 21. Sarabia C. 22. Tovar A. (G) Envigado 9. Villarreal A.	23. Alisson Atletico-MG 15. Anthony 4. Bordon F. Lazio 9. Deivid Washington Chelsea 22. Henrique Menke (G) Internacional 18. Kauan 2. Paulinho Vasco 19. Ricardo Mathias 1. Robert (G) Atletico-MG 21. Wesley Al Nassr 16. Ze Guilherme Bahia
Coaches
Torres C.	Menezes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Iago Teodoro ⚽, Pedro (A),
18', Nathan Fernandes ↓, Wesley ↑,
36', Leandrinho 🟨,
43', Igor Serrote 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Villarreal N. 🟨,
57', Barrera J. 🟨,
58', Batioja A. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
58', Ararat A. ↓, Landazuri L. ↑,
60', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
64', Sandoval K. 🟨,
75', Barrera J. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
76', Gustavo Prado ↓, Alisson ↑,
83', Leandrinho ↓, Ze Guilherme ↑,
83', Rayan ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
83', Gonzalez K. ↓, Villarreal A. ↑,
88', Igor Serrote 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cremona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trapani is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cremona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 248:197 (average 82.7:65.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cremona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 97:54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colombia U20
South American Championship U20
04.02.25	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	4:0 ✺
01.02.25	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	0:1 ✺
30.01.25	Colombia U20 - Bolivia U20	3:2 ✺
28.01.25	Colombia U20 - Ecuador U20	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Argentina U20 - Colombia U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWT
- Brazil U20
South American Championship U20
04.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Brazil U20	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	0:1 ✺
30.01.25	Ecuador U20 - Brazil U20	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Bolivia U20 - Brazil U20	1:2 ✺
24.01.25	Brazil U20 - Argentina U20	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
01.02.25	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	0:1
09.02.23	Colombia U20 - Brazil U20	0:0
25.01.23	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	1:1
Friendly
16.11.21	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	3:2
04.12.19	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	1:0
South American Championship U20
29.01.19	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	0:0
19.01.19	Colombia U20 - Brazil U20	0:0

Colombia U20 - Brazil U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide