Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Final Group - Round 1

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Brigido Iriarte (Caracas)


	Colombia U20		Paraguay U20

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.4	7.2
	1.41	4.38	7.87
	1.42	4.38	7.66	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.44	4.46	7.8
	1.4	4.4	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.89)	4.34 ↑ (3.13)	7.46 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colombia U20
66%

Draw
21.5%

Paraguay U20
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colombia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colombia U20's performance.

Paraguay U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paraguay U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colombia U20 than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colombia U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguay U20 than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paraguay U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia Jordan (G) Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 3. Sandoval K. Betis 2. Garcia S. Atl. Nacional 15. Mosquera Y. Real Union 17. Arizala J. Ind. Medellin 19. Gonzalez K. (C) Inter Palmira 6. Ararat A. Huila 14. Barrera J. Junior 11. Batioja A. Houston Dynamo 23. Villarreal N. Millonarios 10. Perea O. Strasbourg	1. Insfran F. (G) Olimpia Asuncion 20. Duarte M. 5. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. (C) Cerro Porteno 13. Ramos D. Sportivo Iteno 4. Leon D. Cerro Porteno 8. Puzzo S. Talleres Cordoba 16. Gomez L. 7. Aguayo G. Cerro Porteno 21. Alfonso O. 11. Mino Amarilla C. E. Guarani 9. Caballero Fleytas T. I. Nacional Asuncion
Substitutes
7. Aponza Cantonil S. A. Alianza 4. Bazan J. Dep. Pereira 8. Benitez Hernandez R. A. Aguilas Doradas 18. Landazuri L. Atl. Nacional 20. Montano J. Lommel SK 5. Quinonez E. Orsomarso 13. Renteria L. Santa Fe 16. Rodriguez Y. Inter Palmira 12. Rojas A. (G) Arsenal 21. Sarabia C. 22. Tovar A. (G) Envigado 9. Villarreal A.	6. Aguayo A. Sol de America 2. Arguello M. Olimpia Asuncion 3. Balbuena A. 19. Fernandez D. Sol de America 17. Fretes A. Libertad Asuncion 18. Guinazu L. Talleres Cordoba 10. Kmet L. 23. Leguizamon A. Guarani 14. Morinigo T. Olimpia Asuncion 15. Paoli G. 12. Rojas V. (G) Libertad Asuncion 22. Sosa L. (G)
Coaches
Torres C.	Anotlin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Barrera J. ⚽, Villarreal N. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Villarreal N. ⚽, Batioja A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
51', 3 - 0, Villarreal N. ⚽, Mosquera Y. (A),
56', Mino Amarilla C. E. 🟨,
59', Garcia S. 🟨,
59', Alfonso O. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
59', Mino Amarilla C. E. ↓, Morinigo T. ↑,
63', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
63', Batioja A. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
64', Garcia S. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
64', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Aguayo A. ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Villarreal N. ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
75', Barrera J. ↓, Landazuri L. ↑,
75', Villarreal N. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
78', Perea O. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
79', Aguayo G. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
80', Puzzo S. ↓, Guinazu L. ↑,
81', Fernandez D. 🟥,
90+2', Sandoval K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colombia U20 won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Colombia U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colombia U20 is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Colombia U20 won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colombia U20
South American Championship U20
01.02.25	Brazil U20 - Colombia U20	0:1 ✺
30.01.25	Colombia U20 - Bolivia U20	3:2 ✺
28.01.25	Colombia U20 - Ecuador U20	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Argentina U20 - Colombia U20	1:1 ✺
Friendly
21.12.24	Colombia U20 - Venezuela U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTT
- Paraguay U20
South American Championship U20
31.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Venezuela U20	1:0 ✺
27.01.25	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	6:0 ✺
23.01.25	Peru U20 - Paraguay U20	1:2 ✺
Friendly
16.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Bolivia U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
03.02.23	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	3:0
19.01.23	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	1:1
Friendly
08.12.21	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	1:1
South American Championship U20
18.01.17	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	1:1
Friendly
11.11.16	Paraguay U20 - Colombia U20	0:1
South American Championship U20
26.01.15	Paraguay U20 - Colombia U20	0:0
03.02.13	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	2:1

Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide