Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Final Group - Round 2

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Brigido Iriarte (Caracas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:00	DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	21:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Chile	22:00	DirecTV Sports, TVN
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	22:00	Tigo Sports
Peru	20:00	DirecTV Sports
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	22:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Venezuela	21:00	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	01:00	DirecTV Sports


	Paraguay U20		Chile U20

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.07
	3.4	3.4	2.11
	3.32	3.53	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.25	3.66	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.69)	3.4 ↑ (3.09)	2.09 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay U20
28.7%

Draw
27.1%

Chile U20
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraguay U20's form might have worsened.

Chile U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chile U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguay U20 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paraguay U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chile U20 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chile U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Paraguay U20 - Chile U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chile U20 will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Insfran F. (G) Olimpia Asuncion 20. Duarte M. 3. Balbuena A. 15. Paoli G. 4. Leon D. Cerro Porteno 6. Aguayo A. Sol de America 18. Guinazu L. Talleres Cordoba 7. Aguayo G. Cerro Porteno 21. Alfonso O. 14. Morinigo T. Olimpia Asuncion 9. Caballero Fleytas T. I. (C) Nacional Asuncion	12. Saez I. (G) U. De Chile 20. Faundez F. O Higgins 3. Roman I. Palestino 13. Perez M. Curico Unido 19. Romero P. Cobreloa 14. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. U. De Chile 8. Silva J. S. Wanderers 6. Pinto G. O Higgins 17. Ramos Aviles E. M. Everton 18. Rossel J. (C) U. Catolica 11. Chatiliez W. Huesca
Substitutes
2. Arguello M. Olimpia Asuncion 17. Fretes A. Libertad Asuncion 16. Gomez L. 10. Kmet L. 23. Leguizamon A. Guarani 11. Mino Amarilla C. E. Guarani 8. Puzzo S. Talleres Cordoba 13. Ramos D. Sportivo Iteno 12. Rojas V. (G) Libertad Asuncion 22. Sosa L. (G)	21. Aravena B. 10. Arce A. 15. Carcamo J. Huachipato 1. Contreras M. (G) 22. Hernandez L. Colo Colo 23. Maureira G. (G) 9. Pizarro D. Udinese 4. Salazar Y. 16. Sanguinetti F. 5. Suarez N.
Coaches
Anotlin A.	Cordova N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Alfonso O. ⚽,
60', Chatiliez W. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
60', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
61', Pinto G. ↓, Carcamo J. ↑,
65', Morinigo T. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
65', Alfonso O. ↓, Kmet L. ↑,
71', Silva J. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
73', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
73', Duarte M. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
77', Roman I. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Arce A. ⚽,
84', Guinazu L. 🟨,
85', Romero P. ↓, Salazar Y. ↑,
90+2', Guinazu L. ↓, Puzzo S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Kmet L. ⚽,
90+6', Kmet L. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paraguay U20 won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Chile U20 is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Paraguay U20 won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay U20
South American Championship U20
04.02.25	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	4:0 ✺
31.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Venezuela U20	1:0 ✺
27.01.25	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	6:0 ✺
23.01.25	Peru U20 - Paraguay U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLW
- Chile U20
South American Championship U20
04.02.25	Chile U20 - Argentina U20	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Chile U20 - Peru U20	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	Venezuela U20 - Chile U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
31.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1
Friendly
21.06.24	Chile U20 - Paraguay U20	Canceled
10.12.21	Chile U20 - Paraguay U20	1:0
South American Championship U20
24.01.17	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1
Friendly
24.06.16	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	3:0
22.06.16	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	1:1
13.11.14	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	0:0

Paraguay U20 - Chile U20