Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Colonia Moscardó		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3.1
	2.25	2.95	3
	2.25	2.95	3.15
	2.25	3.05	2.94
	2.28	3.08	3.08	Watch
	2.33	3.05	3.07
	2.25	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.74)	2.99 ↓ (3.43)	3.07 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
40%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético Paso
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

25.7%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colonia Moscardó's form might have worsened.

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Paso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colonia Moscardó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Paso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colonia Moscardó - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Temenuzhkov K. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Lauture S. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Ghabbour N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 4 - 0, Paris B. ⚽,
55', 4 - 1, Armiche ⚽,
71', 4 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, Placeres A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Moscardó is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Paso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moscardó will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Tenerife B	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	3:3 ✺
02.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWTW
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	Atlético Paso - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
24.11.24	Getafe B - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Coria - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Paso - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLW

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