Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Colonia Moscardó		Coria

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.2	3.1	2.08
	3.28	3.15	2.16
	3.26	3.23	2.12	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.15
	3.27	3.13	2.11
	4	3.4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.74)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)	2.08 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
27.1%

Draw
29%

Coria
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28.5%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

27.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colonia Moscardó - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Martinez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Chavales J. ⚽,
74', 🟥,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Coria might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moscardó won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Moscardó won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Colonia Moscardó - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.59%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Coria - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.93%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Colonia Moscardó - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Colonia Moscardó - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWLLT
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Coria - Conquense	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Las Palmas B - Coria	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Coria - Rayo Vallecano B	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Coria - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Fuenlabrada - Coria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	5:0
16.03.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	2:0
02.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1

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