Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Colonia Moscardó		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.85
	2.22	3.1	2.85
	2.35	3.08	2.82
	2.35	3.16	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.28	3.13	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.48)	3.1 (3.1)	2.84 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
39.2%

Draw
29.1%

Las Rozas
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.8%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colonia Moscardó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Rozas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colonia Moscardó - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Leiton D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Moscardó could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Moscardó has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Moscardó against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 2:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Las Rozas	8	5	2	1	20:12	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Las Rozas - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.10.26	Real Aranjuez - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Colonia Moscardó - Pozuelo de Alarcón	5:1 ✺
27.09.26	Parla Escuela - Colonia Moscardó	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Colonia Moscardó - Siello	5:1 ✺
13.09.26	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWT
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.10.26	Las Rozas - San Sebastian Reyes B	4:2 ✺
07.10.26	Las Rozas - Alcobendas	3:0 ✺
04.10.26	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Las Rozas - Leganés B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.04.24	Las Rozas - Colonia Moscardó	1:0
19.11.23	Colonia Moscardó - Las Rozas	3:3
27.03.22	Colonia Moscardó - Las Rozas	1:2
28.11.21	Las Rozas - Colonia Moscardó	1:0

Colonia Moscardó - Las Rozas