Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Trival Valderas		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.32	3.00	2.60
	3.01	2.92	2.47
	2.45	3.06	2.84	Watch
	2.95	2.80	2.40
	2.99	3.33	2.24
	2.65	3.20	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.28)	3.06 ↓ (3.29)	2.46 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
33.4%

Draw
29.7%

Las Rozas
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trival Valderas's form might have worsened.

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Las Rozas's recent form is better than expected.

Trival Valderas - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Camacho R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Rivero A. (Penalty Awarded),
82', 2 - 1, Bielo M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 2.

Las Rozas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Trival Valderas has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:19 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Trival Valderas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Las Rozas	8	5	2	1	20:12	8	17
8	Trival Valderas	8	3	4	1	12:9	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Trival Valderas - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.28%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.09.26	Real Aranjuez - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Trival Valderas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Parla Escuela - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Trival Valderas - Siello	3:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.06.26	La Nucía - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTWL
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.09.26	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Las Rozas - Leganés B	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cala Pozuelo - Las Rozas	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.26	Las Rozas - Tarancón	0:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.06.26	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.06.26	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	3:1
31.05.26	Las Rozas - Trival Valderas	1:1
22.03.26	Las Rozas - Trival Valderas	2:3
09.11.25	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	1:2
16.03.25	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	1:1
03.11.24	Las Rozas - Trival Valderas	2:3
28.03.24	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	0:0

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