Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Colunga		Llanera

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.7	1.55
	6.2	4.13	1.46
	6.2	3.78	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (5.02)	3.87 ↑ (3.6)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colunga
15.7%

Draw
23.5%

Llanera
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.2%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

24.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Colunga - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 7)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 1.

In recent matches, Colunga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Llanera is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Llanera is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Colunga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colunga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Real Titánico - Colunga	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Colunga - Llanes	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Colunga	7:0 ✺
19.10.25	Colunga - LEntregu	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colunga - Tuilla	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWW
- UD Llanera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Llanera - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ceares - Llanera	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Llanera - Caudal Deportivo	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Llanera - Navarro	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gijón Industrial - Llanera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
17.03.24	Llanera - Colunga	3:2
29.10.23	Colunga - Llanera	2:1
26.03.23	Llanera - Colunga	3:0
27.11.22	Colunga - Llanera	0:1
17.11.19	Colunga - Llanera	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.04.18	Colunga - Llanera	3:1

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