The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comillas 9.9%
Draw 18.6%
Alfaro 71.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.2%
22.6%
64.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
21.8%
66.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfaro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comillas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Alonso Martinez J. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
Comillas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alfaro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Comillas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Alfaro is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Comillas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Comillas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
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