Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Casalarreina		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.35	1.78
	3.75	3.40	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.78)	3.38 ↑ (3.38)	1.78 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casalarreina
23.6%

Draw
26.3%

Alfaro
50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Casalarreina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Alfaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casalarreina won 1.

Alfaro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Alfaro is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Casalarreina has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:10 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Casalarreina against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alfaro	8	5	1	2	11:8	3	16
18	Casalarreina	8	1	0	7	6:20	-14	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
04.10.26	Calasancio - Casalarreina	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Casalarreina - Agoncillo	1:5 ✺
11.05.25	La Calzada - Casalarreina	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Casalarreina - Autol	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Casalarreina - River Ebro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.09.26	Calasancio - Alfaro	2:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.05.26	Real Unión de Irun - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Alfaro - Náxara	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Tudelano - Alfaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
29.03.24	Casalarreina - Alfaro	1:2
11.11.23	Alfaro - Casalarreina	1:5
07.05.22	Alfaro - Casalarreina	3:0
13.03.22	Casalarreina - Alfaro	0:1
31.10.21	Alfaro - Casalarreina	1:0
16.11.19	Casalarreina - Alfaro	2:1

Casalarreina - Alfaro