Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 27

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Casalarreina		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.93
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.3	3.08	1.91
	3.4	3.45	1.95
	3.3	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casalarreina
27.1%

Draw
27%

Alfaro
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.2%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casalarreina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casalarreina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Baztan A. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+11', 🟥,
90+11', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Casalarreina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfaro is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Casalarreina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alfaro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casalarreina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Casalarreina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
24.03.24	Anguiano - Casalarreina	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Casalarreina - Arnedo	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Alberite - Casalarreina	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Casalarreina - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Oyonesa - Casalarreina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWLT
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
17.03.24	Calahorra B - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Alfaro - Tedeón	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Alfaro	0:4 ✺
25.02.24	Alfaro - Vianés	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Racing Rioja - Alfaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.11.23	Alfaro - Casalarreina	1:5
07.05.22	Alfaro - Casalarreina	3:0
13.03.22	Casalarreina - Alfaro	0:1
31.10.21	Alfaro - Casalarreina	1:0
16.11.19	Casalarreina - Alfaro	2:1

Casalarreina - Alfaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide