Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 21

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ferruccio (Seregno)

Referee: Vailati G. (Ita)


	Como		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.3	2.35
	2.88	3.54	2.23
	2.83	3.58	2.29	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.62	3.3	2.34
	2.48	3.1	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.48)	3.32 ↑ (3.1)	2.37 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
33.9%

Draw
27.5%

Napoli
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.3%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Como - Napoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gilardi A. (G) 2. Marcussen A. 5. Howard S. 3. Ronan K. 28. Kruse M. 19. Pavan M. 7. Nischler N. (C) 20. Vaitukaityte L. 6. Bergersen M. 16. Bernardi V. 10. Chidiac A.	1. Beretta B. (G) 44. Pettenuzzo T. 16. Jusjong M. 32. Vergani B. 67. Giordano M. 8. Kozak K. 23. Bellucci M. (C) 90. Langella G. 14. Faurskov L. 10. Banusic M. 11. Floe C.
Substitutes
11. Berisha F. 26. Cappellano E. 15. Gelbhart R. 25. Marchiori C. 8. Petzelberger R. 21. Picchi M. 9. Pinther V. 24. Rizzon G. 30. Ruma G. (G)	7. Barker H. M. 17. Carcassi A. 24. D'Angelo A. 26. D'Angelo O. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 27. Kainulainen E. 12. Kjolholdt S. 77. Musumeci V. 19. Sciabica M. 21. Thisgaard F. (G) 20. Troan M. 5. Veletanlic E.
Coaches
Tramezzani P.	Sassarini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Banusic M. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,
59', Faurskov L. ↓, Barker H. M. ↑,
64', Giordano M. ↓, Kainulainen E. ↑,
64', Pettenuzzo T. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
73', Langella G. 🟨,
75', Pavan M. ↓, Berisha F. ↑,
81', Gilardi A. ↓, Ruma G. ↑,
81', Bernardi V. ↓, Pinther V. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 3.

Recent form of Como has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Napoli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Como won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Como won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Como W: 3.4% Napoli W: 0.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Como W	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
11	Napoli W	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Como Women
Italian Serie A Women
03.05.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Roma - Como	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Milan - Como	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Como - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTT
- Napoli Femminile
Italian Serie A Women
02.05.26	Napoli - Juventus	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Milan - Napoli	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Napoli - Genoa	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Napoli - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Napoli - Como	0:0
11.05.25	Como - Napoli	3:1
30.03.25	Napoli - Como	0:2
09.02.25	Napoli - Como	4:2
10.11.24	Como - Napoli	3:0
27.04.24	Napoli - Como	1:1
17.03.24	Como - Napoli	1:1

Como - Napoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide