The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli 35.7%
Draw 28%
Lazio 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
28%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
28.4%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Napoli - Lazio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Beretta B. (G) 44. Pettenuzzo T. 16. Jusjong M. 32. Vergani B. 67. Giordano M. 17. Carcassi A. 23. Bellucci M. (C) 19. Sciabica M. 14. Faurskov L. 10. Banusic M. 11. Floe C.
28. Durante F. (G) 2. Baltrip-Reyes C. 7. Connolly M. 27. D'Auria F. 99. Visentin N. (C) 10. Benoit A. 8. Martin E. 13. Oliviero E. 11. Le Bihan C. 20. Simonetti F. 9. Karczewska N.
Substitutes
7. Barker H. M. 24. D'Angelo A. 26. D'Angelo O. 77. Giovannini V. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 12. Kjolholdt S. 8. Kozak K. 21. Thisgaard F. (G) 20. Troan M. 5. Veletanlic E.
42. Bacic D. (G) 77. Cafferata F. 16. Castiello A. 5. Cesarini E. 1. Karresmaa K. (G) 6. Mesjasz M. 17. Monnecchi M. 14. Zanoli M.
Coaches
Sassarini D.
Grassadonia G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Martin E. ↓, Castiello A. ↑,
32', Bellucci M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Sciabica M. ↓, D'Angelo O. ↑,
59', Faurskov L. ↓, Kozak K. ↑,
67', Castiello A. ↓, Monnecchi M. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Monnecchi M. ⚽, Oliviero E. (A),
76', Visentin N. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
82', Carcassi A. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
82', Pettenuzzo T. ↓, Barker H. M. ↑,
87', Bellucci M. ↓, Giovannini V. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 5)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).