Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Complutense Alcalá		CDE Madrid

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Complutense Alcalá
30.1%

Draw
30.7%

CDE Madrid
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28%

31%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

22.6%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Complutense Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

CDE Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Complutense Alcalá than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Complutense Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CDE Madrid than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CDE Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Complutense Alcalá is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CDE Madrid in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

CDE Madrid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

CDE Madrid will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Complutense Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.11.21	Getafe B - Complutense Alcalá	4:1 ✺
13.11.21	Complutense Alcalá - Tres Cantos	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Galapagar - Complutense Alcalá	4:0 ✺
30.10.21	Complutense Alcalá - Alcorcón B	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Las Rozas - Complutense Alcalá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTL
- CDE Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.11.21	CDE Madrid - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - CDE Madrid	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Villaverde San Andrés - CDE Madrid	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	CDE Madrid - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Ursaria - CDE Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWT

Complutense Alcalá - CDE Madrid