Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Complutense Alcalá		Alcorcón B

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Complutense Alcalá
34.4%

Draw
30.6%

Alcorcón B
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.2%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Complutense Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Complutense Alcalá's performance.

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorcón B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Complutense Alcalá than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Complutense Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+24.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Complutense Alcalá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón B will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Complutense Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.10.21	Las Rozas - Complutense Alcalá	3:0 ✺
17.10.21	Complutense Alcalá - Atlético Madrid B	0:4 ✺
10.10.21	Colonia Moscardó - Complutense Alcalá	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Complutense Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1 ✺
15.09.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Complutense Alcalá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.10.21	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	6:1 ✺
17.10.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Alcorcón B - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
19.09.21	Ursaria - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTT

Complutense Alcalá - Alcorcón B