Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Compostela		Lugo B

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.96	5.42	Watch
	1.45	3.84	6.75
	1.64	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	5.62 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
59.5%

Draw
24.1%

Lugo B
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

22.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Compostela aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Compostela - Lugo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Armental A. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Maceira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 3 - 0, Parapar J. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Vazquez S. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Doumbouya I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Compostela has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lugo B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Compostela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Compostela is considered a favorite.

We predict that Compostela will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Gran Peña - Compostela	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Compostela - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Compostela - Juventud Cambados	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Boiro - Compostela	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Compostela - Barco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWW
- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Lugo B - Estradense	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Somozas - Lugo B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lugo B - Montañeros	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Arosa - Lugo B	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Lugo B - Atlético Arteixo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWTW

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