Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Concordia Elbląg		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.55
	2.87	3.19	2.25
	2.81	3.38	2.3	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.2)	3.36 ↓ (3.55)	2.44 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concordia Elbląg
35.2%

Draw
27.3%

Pelikan Łowicz
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concordia Elbląg's form might have worsened.

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concordia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelikan Łowicz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concordia won 3.

Recent matches Concordia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pelikan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Concordia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Concordia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.08.23	Legia II - Concordia Elbląg	5:0 ✺
23.08.23	Concordia Elbląg - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	GKS Bełchatów - Concordia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Concordia Elbląg - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Concordia Elbląg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWLTW
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Legia II - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Olimpia Zambrów	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	GKS Bełchatów - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.04.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0
04.09.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
22.05.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	1:2
14.03.21	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1
22.09.19	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	4:1
09.04.17	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	2:2
28.08.16	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2

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