Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.08	3.4	3.1
	2.13	3.36	2.96
	1.98	3.58	3.3
	2.01	3.34	3.31	Watch
	2.08	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.17)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)	3.15 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
44.4%

Draw
26.7%

Pelikan Łowicz
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Pelikan Łowicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

GKS Bełchatów - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Wozniakowski D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Golanski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Wozniakowski D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Bełchatów is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pelikan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
03.05.25	GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLTL
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Stomil Olsztyn	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Legia II	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.10.24	Pelikan Łowicz - GKS Bełchatów	0:3
26.11.23	Pelikan Łowicz - GKS Bełchatów	0:1
05.08.23	GKS Bełchatów - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0
Club Friendly
05.02.14	GKS Bełchatów - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0

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