Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 25

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Concón National		Lautaro de Buin

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.91	3.61	3.5
	1.89	3.59	3.56	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.5
	1.86	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	3.56 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concón National
48.3%

Draw
26.3%

Lautaro de Buin
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lautaro de Buin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro de Buin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Concón National - Lautaro de Buin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Retamales J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Retamales J. ⚽,
89', Vera D. 🟥,
89', Sandoval I. I. 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent matches Concón National is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lautaro de Buin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lautaro de Buin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Concón National will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Concón National won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
06.10.24	General Velásquez - Concón National	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Concón National	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Concón National - Deportes Rengo	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Deportes Linares - Concón National	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLWLW
- Lautaro de Buin
Chilean Segunda Division
05.10.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	1:5 ✺
15.09.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Lautaro de Buin	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Lautaro de Buin - General Velásquez	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lautaro de Buin - Provincial Osorno	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
19.05.24	Lautaro de Buin - Concón National	1:0

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