Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 24

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Lautaro de Buin		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	4.5	3.6	1.68
	4.29	3.95	1.72
	4.36	3.91	1.66	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.65
	4.57	3.62	1.66	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.06)	3.67 ↑ (3.3)	1.68 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro de Buin
20.8%

Draw
24.8%

Deportes Concepción
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro de Buin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lautaro de Buin's form might have worsened.

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Concepción's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro de Buin than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lautaro de Buin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Concepción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
8', 0 - 1, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. (Pen),
10', 0 - 2, Escobar C. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Flores M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 3, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,
35', 1 - 4, Valdivia B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 5, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro de Buin
Chilean Segunda Division
15.09.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Lautaro de Buin	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Lautaro de Buin - General Velásquez	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lautaro de Buin - Provincial Osorno	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
19.08.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Rengo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
15.09.24	Deportes Concepción - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Deportes Concepción - Provincial Ovalle	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Deportes Concepción - Real San Joaquín	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
11.05.24	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	4:0
23.07.23	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	2:0
12.03.23	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	1:0
25.09.22	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	2:0
12.06.22	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	0:0
04.10.21	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	3:0
02.02.21	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	0:1

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