Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Condeixa		Peniche

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.63	2.8	2.6
	2.7	2.85	2.6
	2.84	2.88	2.74
	2.68	3.08	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.3)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)	2.58 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Condeixa
33.8%

Draw
30.9%

Peniche
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

21.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Condeixa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Condeixa's form might have worsened.

Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peniche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Condeixa than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Condeixa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peniche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Condeixa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peniche has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Peniche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Condeixa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Condeixa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.22	Fontinhas - Condeixa	3:1 ✺
16.02.22	Condeixa - SB Castelo Branco	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Vitória de Sernache - Condeixa	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Idanhense - Condeixa	0:5 ✺
22.01.22	Condeixa - Oleiros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.22	Peniche - Idanhense	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Sertanense - Peniche	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Peniche - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Fontinhas - Peniche	3:1 ✺
23.01.22	Peniche - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Condeixa - Peniche

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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