The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Conegliano 32.4%
Draw 29.6%
Mestre 38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
30%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Conegliano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Mestre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conegliano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group C Playoffs).
Conegliano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mestre is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Conegliano has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Conegliano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Mestre
9
3
4
2
12:10
2
13
9
Conegliano
9
4
1
4
7:10
-3
13
Last Results with these Odds
Mestre - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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