Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Este		Conegliano

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.00	3.10
	2.2	2.85	3.1
	2.18	3.05	3.26	Watch
	2.16	2.85	3.05
	2.11	3.55	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 (2.16)	3.06 ↓ (3.49)	3.19 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Este
42%

Draw
29.6%

Conegliano
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Este has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Conegliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Este - Conegliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Cogo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Serie D - Group C (Play Out: ) and 9th).

Conegliano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Este is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Este has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Este against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Este	6	2	1	3	5:5	0	7
12	Conegliano	6	2	1	3	3:7	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Este - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.18%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Este
Italian Serie D - Group C
20.09.26	Este - Cjarlins Muzane	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Union Clodiense - Este	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Este - Obermais	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Brian Lignano - Este	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Legnago Salus - Este	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT
- Conegliano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group C
27.09.26	Conegliano - Lavarian Mortean Esperia	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Conegliano - Obermais	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Conegliano	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Conegliano - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Conegliano - Luparense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
01.02.26	Conegliano - Este	1:0
28.09.25	Este - Conegliano	1:1

Upcoming Matches