Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Confiança		Salgueiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3	4
	1.75	3.05	4.8
	1.79	3.25	4.99
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	1.79	3.22	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	4.47 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
50.3%

Draw
29.2%

Salgueiro
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

19.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Salgueiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salgueiro than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salgueiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Confiança - Salgueiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 5).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Salgueiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Confiança will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Confiança won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
17.03.21	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.03.21	ABC - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.03.21	4 de Julho - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.03.21	Confiança - CS Alagoano	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.03.21	América Pedrinhas - Confiança	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTW
- Salgueiro
Copa do Brasil
17.03.21	Salgueiro - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.03.21	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	4 de Julho - Salgueiro	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
03.03.21	Sport Recife - Salgueiro	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.21	Salgueiro - Bahia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.01.19	Confiança - Salgueiro	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
25.06.18	Salgueiro - Confiança	1:1
22.04.18	Confiança - Salgueiro	3:0
15.07.17	Salgueiro - Confiança	4:1
15.05.17	Confiança - Salgueiro	2:1
18.09.16	Confiança - Salgueiro	2:1
17.07.16	Salgueiro - Confiança	1:1

Confiança - Salgueiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide