Match Info

Date: 25 June 2022, Saturday


	ABC		Confiança

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.6
	1.68	3.25	4.75
	1.71	3.25	4.6
	1.71	3.38	5.4
	1.7	3	4.8
	1.72	3.34	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	4.86 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
53.3%

Draw
28.1%

Confiança
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

ABC - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ABC: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC won 1.

ABC is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Confiança is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match ABC is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's ABC to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 8 head-to-head matches ABC won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.22	Ypiranga - ABC	0:0 ✺
12.06.22	ABC - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Botafogo PB - ABC	0:0 ✺
28.05.22	ABC - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0 ✺
21.05.22	Atlético Cearense - ABC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTWW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
18.06.22	Confiança - Campinense	2:3 ✺
12.06.22	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0 ✺
04.06.22	Confiança - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
28.05.22	Confiança - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.03.21	ABC - Confiança	1:1
25.01.20	Confiança - ABC	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.19	ABC - Confiança	1:2
12.05.19	Confiança - ABC	1:0
14.07.18	ABC - Confiança	4:0
12.05.18	Confiança - ABC	2:2
14.08.16	Confiança - ABC	1:1

ABC - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide