Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Conil		Tomares

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	1.04	10.83	25.00	Watch
	2.58	3.1	2.78
	2.66	2.8	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)	4.91 ↑ (3.28)	8.27 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conil
58.1%

Draw
26.3%

Tomares
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Conil's performance.

Tomares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomares might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Conil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Conil - Tomares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Conil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.10.25	Atlético Central - Conil	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Conil - Utrera	4:2 ✺
05.10.25	Dos Hermanas - Conil	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Conil - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Conil	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWLL
- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.10.25	Tomares - Atlético Onubense	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Central - Tomares	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tomares - Pozoblanco	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Utrera - Tomares	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Tomares - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.02.25	Conil - Tomares	0:0
22.09.24	Tomares - Conil	1:0
20.02.22	Conil - Tomares	2:1
24.10.21	Tomares - Conil	0:1

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