Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Conil		Utrera

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.42
	2.75	3.2	2.45
	2.81	2.98	2.65
	3.25	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.35)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.42 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Conil
32.1%

Draw
29.8%

Utrera
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

30.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Conil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Conil - Utrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Lidueña Alonso D. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, ⚽,
33', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 3 - 2, ⚽,
72', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conil won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Utrera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Conil won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.10.25	Dos Hermanas - Conil	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Conil - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Conil	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Conil - Bollullos	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Sevilla C - Conil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLTL
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.10.25	Utrera - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Utrera - Tomares	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dos Hermanas - Utrera	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Utrera - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.03.25	Conil - Utrera	1:1
20.10.24	Utrera - Conil	2:0
07.04.24	Utrera - Conil	1:1
18.11.23	Conil - Utrera	2:4
27.02.22	Utrera - Conil	4:1
31.10.21	Conil - Utrera	1:1
21.10.18	Utrera - Conil	5:0

Conil - Utrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide