The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Conquense 61.4%
Draw 24.2%
Atlético Paso 14.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.7%
24.4%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
23.2%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Conquense - Atlético Paso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 14th in the Relegation).
Conquense is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Atlético Paso have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Conquense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Conquense enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Conquense in today's match, at odds of 1.48.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Conquense has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Conquense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.
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