Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 14

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Conwy Borough		Chirk AAA

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.5	2.65
	2.12	3.63	2.75
	2.18	3.52	2.8
	2.2	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.82)	3.56 ↑ (3.18)	2.74 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conwy Borough
41.7%

Draw
25.3%

Chirk AAA
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

26.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conwy Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conwy Borough's form might have worsened.

Chirk AAA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chirk AAA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conwy Borough than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conwy Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chirk AAA than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chirk AAA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 12 and 13).

Recent matches Conwy Borough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chirk AAA has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Conwy Borough have a series of guest games.

Conwy Borough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Conwy Borough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conwy Borough
Welsh Cymru North
05.11.22	Mold Alexandra - Conwy Borough	5:2
29.10.22	Conwy Borough - Porthmadog	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Penrhyncoch - Conwy Borough	2:5 ✺
01.10.22	Gresford Athletic - Conwy Borough	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Llanidloes Town - Conwy Borough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWW
- Chirk AAA
Welsh Cymru North
06.11.22	Chirk AAA - Holywell Town	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Llandudno - Chirk AAA	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Chirk AAA - Holyhead Hotspur	0:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
08.10.22	Chirk AAA - The New Saints	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
30.09.22	Ruthin Town - Chirk AAA	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
24.07.22	Chirk AAA - Conwy Borough	1:0

Conwy Borough - Chirk AAA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide