Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Gresford Athletic		Conwy Borough

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.55	3
	1.93	3.53	2.97
	1.99	3.58	3.15
	1.98	3.7	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
45.7%

Draw
25%

Conwy Borough
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Conwy Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conwy Borough than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Gresford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Conwy Borough is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Conwy Borough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gresford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gresford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gresford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
24.09.22	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.09.22	Buckley Town - Gresford Athletic	2:3 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
29.08.22	Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic	3:1 ✺
19.08.22	Chirk AAA - Gresford Athletic	0:0 ✺
12.08.22	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLTL
- Conwy Borough
Welsh Cymru North
24.09.22	Llanidloes Town - Conwy Borough	0:2 ✺
06.09.22	Buckley Town - Conwy Borough	2:2 ✺
29.08.22	Conwy Borough - Druids	1:1 ✺
26.08.22	Conwy Borough - Colwyn Bay	0:3 ✺
20.08.22	Holywell Town - Conwy Borough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
30.10.21	Gresford Athletic - Conwy Borough	2:2
27.07.21	Conwy Borough - Gresford Athletic	0:0
07.12.19	Gresford Athletic - Conwy Borough	1:2

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