Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Corellano		Txantrea

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	4.3	3.2	1.72
	4.35	3.27	1.74
	4.56	3.1	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (4.19)	3.21 ↑ (3.04)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corellano
20.7%

Draw
28%

Txantrea
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

28.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

22.6%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Corellano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corellano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Txantrea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Corellano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Txantrea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Txantrea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Txantrea is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Corellano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Corellano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
27.02.22	Subiza - Corellano	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Corellano - Cantolagua	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Beti Kozkor - Corellano	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Corellano - Burladés	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Cirbonero - Corellano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTL
- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.02.22	Murchante - Txantrea	0:2 ✺
12.02.22	Txantrea - Cortes	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Huarte - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Txantrea - Subiza	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Cantolagua - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
30.10.21	Txantrea - Corellano	1:0
05.01.20	Txantrea - Corellano	2:0
06.10.18	Txantrea - Corellano	3:0

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