Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 22

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Illescas

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.35	2.77	3.54
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
40%

Draw
33%

Illescas
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

32.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

31.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Coria have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Coria - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Carmona M. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Mercadal A. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Pesca R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
70', 3 - 1, Llerena G. ⚽,
75', 4 - 1, Chavales J. ⚽,
78', 4 - 2, Lopez D. ⚽,
84', 4 - 3, Lopez D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Coria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Illescas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.02.25	Conquense - Coria	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Coria - Rayo Majadahonda	1:4 ✺
19.01.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Coria	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Coria - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Coria - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWW
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.02.25	Tenerife B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Illescas - Conquense	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Illescas	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Illescas - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Illescas - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.24	Illescas - Coria	2:1

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